23’ Oscar Predictions
It’s Oscar Season 2023, and as your go-to Movie Guru, here are my predictions. Now, I’m only going to cover a few here because I’m on a 7-hour flight delay and struggling to be honest.
*Previously published on Barry’s Bites Instagram
Courtesy of Warner Bros.
Actor in a Leading Role
This is one of the toughest categories of the night. Colin Farrell won the comedy/musical Golden Globe for his role in The Banshees of Inisherin, and Brendan Fraser took home both the Critics Choice Award and the Screen Actors Guild award for ‘The Whale’. But I believe that Austin Butler will beat out everyone, in part because he won the BAFTA [British Academy Film Awards] and Golden Globes drama awards. Plus, historically if your movie is up for the best picture, it provides a boost in the best actor race and his performance has been subject to much fanfare.
Actor in a Supporting Role
I would love for either Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) or Barry Keoghan (Banshees of Inisherin) to win but I predict Ke Huy Quan will win for ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’. If he doesn’t, it’ll most likely go to either of the Banshees of Inisherin actors nominated.
Courtesy of Focus Features
Actress in a Leading Role
Phew, talk about a tough category. Ana De Armas, love you, but Blonde ain’t getting it done this year. It’s definitely between Cate Blanchett [‘Tar’] and Michelle Yeoh [EEAAO]. My prediction is Cate Blanchett for ‘Tar’, she won the BAFTA and Critics Choice, and the more predictive Golden Globe category as well. Michelle won the last major award, the Screen Actors Guild award. Either way, this one is anything but a sure thing.
Courtesy of A24
Actress in a Supporting Role
I would love for Angela Bassett to win this category, but unfortunately for her, I believe Jamie Lee Curtis has this one locked down. For one, Oscar’s voter base has never fully accepted Marvel movies as serious award contenders. Remember, Bassett’s role in ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ is the first Marvel movie performance to be nominated. Additionally, Curtis won the SAF award for her role in ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’. So it looks likely Curtis will take home the statue in this one.
Courtesy of Netflix
Cinematography
Yet another category that’s gonna is a close one. In my book, it’s between ‘All Quiet on the Western Front’, which took home the BAFTA and Society of Camera Operators awards. Then there’s ‘Elvis’, which took home the top honor at the Society of Camera Operators, and that award has predicted this category's winner in seven of the last 10 years… If ‘Elvis’ wins, it will mark the first time that a woman (Mandy Walker) has ever won this award; however, only the film's title appears on the ballot so that significance might be lost on the voters. Nothing against Mandy but I believe ‘All Quiet on the Western Front’ will take home this category.
Photo by Rich Fury / Getty Images
Directing
This is a tough category, among others, and there’s an avenue where Todd Field (‘Tar’), or Golden Globe winner Steven Spielberg (‘The Fablemans’) could win here. That being said, the most likely winner is Kwan and Scheinert Daniels (‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’). They won the Directors Guild’s top prize, and that has predicted this Oscar category for all but 8 times over the past 74 years… So history or statistics is on their side.
Courtesy of A24
Best Picture
I’m halfway thinking this could easily go to ‘Elvis’ because Hollywood loves those types of movies. But A24's ‘Everything Everywhere All at Once’ is the most likely winner. After sweeping the guild’s top honors, including the Producers Guild’s, Critics Choice, and Spirit Award prizes. My riskiest bet here is that the Academy gives it to ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ for its commercial as well as the critical triumph that helped bring the American movie theater back to life.
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